Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.124788 0.139008 0.154724 0.173480 0.195382 0.220306 0.251040
2024-10-27 0.101456 0.119702 0.141510 0.169858 0.206279 0.252277 0.316052
2024-11-03 0.089927 0.111133 0.138161 0.175957 0.228831 0.302429 0.416999
2024-11-10 0.081036 0.103935 0.134690 0.180423 0.249331 0.354129 0.536479
2024-11-17 0.072095 0.095103 0.127272 0.177475 0.257814 0.389463 0.642234
2024-11-24 0.064643 0.087237 0.119882 0.172931 0.262324 0.418814 0.747944
2024-12-01 0.057258 0.078573 0.110129 0.162989 0.255671 0.426596 0.813958
2024-12-08 0.053283 0.074483 0.106732 0.162646 0.265276 0.466593 0.966738
2024-12-15 0.050866 0.072463 0.106246 0.166972 0.284039 0.529835 1.208743
2024-12-22 0.046985 0.067786 0.100944 0.162035 0.283897 0.552505 1.355424
2024-12-29 0.045498 0.066761 0.101524 0.167763 0.306307 0.633595 1.734179
2025-01-05 0.042862 0.063635 0.098203 0.165656 0.311642 0.674654 2.012199
2025-01-12 0.040860 0.061483 0.096510 0.166783 0.325164 0.744356 2.479898
2025-01-19 0.038198 0.058034 0.092220 0.162203 0.324720 0.775645 2.823387
2025-01-26 0.037140 0.057241 0.092656 0.167411 0.349221 0.892914 3.776262
2025-02-02 0.035994 0.056197 0.092510 0.171351 0.371598 1.015539 5.029146
2025-02-09 0.034137 0.053752 0.089472 0.168494 0.375170 1.074165 5.983706
2025-02-16 0.032279 0.051183 0.085989 0.164207 0.373936 1.114953 6.918794
2025-02-23 0.030012 0.047748 0.080574 0.154902 0.356615 1.084775 7.113405
2025-03-02 0.028888 0.046342 0.079066 0.154573 0.365797 1.171414 8.911295
2025-03-09 0.028293 0.045871 0.079379 0.158612 0.389313 1.337457 12.677243
2025-03-16 0.026889 0.043804 0.076297 0.153998 0.384501 1.366250 14.506846
2025-03-23 0.026517 0.043664 0.077168 0.159348 0.413777 1.592196 22.634787